Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.