Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Bangor City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Bangor City win was 1-0 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.