Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangor City win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangor City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.