NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
The Showgrounds

Ballymena United vs Bangor City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.00pm
Cliftonville 2 - 2 Ballymena
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Igor Rutkowski

Bangor City

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Dungannon 0 - 1 Bangor
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Ben Arthurs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ballymena United win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Bangor City has a probability of 31.04% and a draw has a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bangor City win is 0-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result

Ballymena United 42.62%
Draw 26.35%
Bangor City 31.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.41%
Under 1.5 24.59%
Over 2.5 51.64%
Under 2.5 48.36%
Over 3.5 29.19%
Under 3.5 70.81%
Over 4.5 16.56%
Under 4.5 83.44%

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 31.55%
Draw 42.52%
Bangor City 25.93%

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 51.1%
No Goal 7.16%
Bangor City 41.74%

Corners

Over 8 45.8%
Equal 8 12.25%
Under 8 41.95%
Over 9 34.44%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 54.2%
Over 10.5 24.75%
Under 10.5 75.25%

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 42.21%
Under 1.5 57.79%
Over 2.5 18.59%
Under 2.5 81.41%
Over 3.5 6.6%
Under 3.5 93.4%

Bangor City Goals

Over 0.5 66.21%
Under 0.5 33.79%
Over 1.5 33.01%
Under 1.5 66.99%
Over 2.5 12.56%
Under 2.5 87.44%
Over 3.5 3.96%
Under 3.5 96.04%

Score analysis

Ballymena United 42.61%
Draw 26.35%
Bangor City 31.04%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.76%
Other @ 6.36%
Total : 42.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 26.35%
Bangor City
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 31.04%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • 31' yellowcard
  • R. Garrett 31' yellowcard
  • Robert Garrett 31' yellowcard
  • L. Harrison 36' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harrison 36' yellowcard
  • Ben Arthurs 42' goal
  • Lewis Francis 61' goal
NIFL Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • 29' goal
  • goal 90'+1'