NIFL Premiership
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • <TBD> 42' yellowcard
  • Paddy Burns 42' yellowcard
  • Alfie Pollock 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jimmy Callacher 46'
  • yellowcard Joseph Moore 46'
  • yellowcard Aidan Steele 46'
  • goal Adam Lecky 58'
  • yellowcard Danny Gibson 66'
  • yellowcard Danny Purkis 66'
  • goal Jimmy Callacher 74'
  • yellowcard Ryan Waide 79'
  • goal Danny Purkis 90'+1'

Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Glenavon 0 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Conor Falls

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Bangor 0 - 3 Carrick
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Danny Purkis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Glenavon 32.24%
Draw 27%
Carrick Rangers 40.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.21%
Under 1.5 26.79%
Over 2.5 48.6%
Under 2.5 51.4%
Over 3.5 26.98%
Under 3.5 73.02%
Over 4.5 14.59%
Under 4.5 85.41%

First Half Winner

Glenavon 24.41%
Draw 41.97%
Carrick Rangers 33.62%

Team To Score First

Glenavon 38.12%
No Goal 7.77%
Carrick Rangers 54.11%

Corners

Over 8 48.35% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.91%
Under 8 39.74% (+0.04)
Over 9 37.08% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 51.65% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 27.26% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 72.74% (+0.04)

Glenavon Goals

Over 1.5 32.64%
Under 1.5 67.36%
Over 2.5 12.37%
Under 2.5 87.63%
Over 3.5 3.58%
Under 3.5 96.42%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 72.57%
Under 0.5 27.43%
Over 1.5 39.54%
Under 1.5 60.46%
Over 2.5 16.36%
Under 2.5 83.64%
Over 3.5 5.62%
Under 3.5 94.38%

Score analysis

Glenavon 32.25%
Draw 27%
Carrick Rangers 40.76%
Glenavon
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-1 @ 7.26%
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 32.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.77%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 27%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 5.32%
Total : 40.76%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Paul Heatley 15' goal
  • Luke McCullough 35' goal
  • Lorcan Donnelly 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Lindsay 38'
  • goal Peter Campbell 76'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Steven Gordon 73' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • goal Paul McGovern 18'
  • goal Peter Campbell 54'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Len O'Sullivan 73'
  • goal Aaron Heaney 75'
  • goal Peter Campbell 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Jack Malone 48' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 49' goal
  • Peter Campbell 49' goal
  • Peter Campbell 69' yellowcard
  • Paul McGovern 90'+3' goal
  • Paul McGovern 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 12'
  • redcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 23'
  • goal Dan Purkis 89'
  • goal Dan Purkis 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 72' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 90'+1' goal
  • redcard Ross Glendinning 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 65'
  • goal David Cushley 89'
  • yellowcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 90'+5'