NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Mourneview Park

Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Glenavon 0 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Conor Falls

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Bangor 0 - 3 Carrick
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Danny Purkis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Glenavon has a probability of 33.19% and a draw has a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Glenavon win is 1-0 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Glenavon 33.19%
Draw 26.82%
Carrick Rangers 39.94%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.29%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.22%
Under 1.5 26.78%
Over 2.5 48.6%
Under 2.5 51.4%
Over 3.5 27.12%
Under 3.5 72.88%
Over 4.5 14.69%
Under 4.5 85.31%

First Half Winner

Glenavon 24.96%
Draw 42%
Carrick Rangers 33.04%

Team To Score First

Glenavon 38.82%
No Goal 7.71%
Carrick Rangers 53.47%

Corners

Over 8 48.29%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 39.71%
Over 9 36.95%
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 51.71%
Over 10.5 27.08%
Under 10.5 72.92%

Glenavon Goals

Over 1.5 33.35%
Under 1.5 66.65%
Over 2.5 12.83%
Under 2.5 87.17%
Over 3.5 3.75%
Under 3.5 96.25%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 71.97%
Under 0.5 28.03%
Over 1.5 38.89%
Under 1.5 61.11%
Over 2.5 15.93%
Under 2.5 84.07%
Over 3.5 5.45%
Under 3.5 94.55%

Score analysis

Glenavon 33.19%
Draw 26.82%
Carrick Rangers 39.96%
Glenavon
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 33.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 26.82%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 3.84%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 5.19%
Total : 39.96%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Paul Heatley 15' goal
  • Luke McCullough 35' goal
  • Lorcan Donnelly 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Lindsay 38'
  • goal Peter Campbell 76'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Steven Gordon 73' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • goal Paul McGovern 18'
  • goal Peter Campbell 54'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Len O'Sullivan 73'
  • goal Aaron Heaney 75'
  • goal Peter Campbell 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Jack Malone 48' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 49' goal
  • Peter Campbell 49' goal
  • Peter Campbell 69' yellowcard
  • Paul McGovern 90'+3' goal
  • Paul McGovern 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 12'
  • redcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 23'
  • goal Dan Purkis 89'
  • goal Dan Purkis 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 72' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 90'+1' goal
  • redcard Ross Glendinning 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 65'
  • goal David Cushley 89'
  • yellowcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 90'+5'