NIFL Premiership
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • goal Fraser Bryden 53'

Glenavon vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Bangor 0 - 0 Glenavon
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Conor Falls

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Crusaders 4 - 0 Portadown
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Fraser Bryden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.04% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Glenavon 55.66% (-0.89)
Draw 23.04% (+0.74)
Crusaders 21.3% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.23% (+0.64)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.55% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 22.45% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 54.4% (-1.49)
Under 2.5 45.6% (+1.49)
Over 3.5 32.26% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 67.74% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 19.92% (-0.69)
Under 4.5 80.08% (+0.69)

First Half Winner

Glenavon 40.05% (+1.90)
Draw 39.57% (+0.04)
Crusaders 20.38% (-1.93)

Team To Score First

Glenavon 59.3% (+1.37)
No Goal 6.23% (+0.42)
Crusaders 34.47% (-1.79)

Corners

Over 8 57.33% (-1.79)
Equal 8 11.79% (+0.39)
Under 8 30.88% (+1.40)
Over 9 45.35% (-2.04)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.25)
Under 9 42.67% (+1.79)
Over 10.5 34.21% (-2.09)
Under 10.5 65.79% (+2.10)

Glenavon Goals

Over 1.5 52.77% (-1.37)
Under 1.5 47.23% (+1.37)
Over 2.5 27.36% (-0.92)
Under 2.5 72.64% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 11.76% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 88.24% (+0.68)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 56.52% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 43.48% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 24.93%
Under 1.5 75.07%
Over 2.5 8.32% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.68% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.31% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.69% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Glenavon 55.65%
Draw 23.04%
Crusaders 21.3%
Glenavon
1-0 @ 10.56% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.40)
2-0 @ 9.33% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.26% (+0.04)
Other @ 11.62% (-0.69)
Total : 55.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79% (+0.44)
0-0 @ 6.23% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.04%
Crusaders
0-1 @ 5.65% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.04% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 1.98% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.17% (-0.03)
Total : 21.3%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • goal Paddy Burns 60'
  • goal Luke McGerrigan 64'
  • goal Conor Falls 77'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • David McDaid 42' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 25'
  • goal Daniel Larmour 44'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 56'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 2
FT Mourneview Park
  • Mark Haughey 28' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 38' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 43' goal
  • Peter Campbell 62' goal
  • Jack Malone 65' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 73' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Blaney 12'
  • goal 19'
  • goal Philip Lowry 19'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Owens 87'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Seaview
  • Jordan Stewart 26' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 48' yellowcard
  • Philip Lowry 55' yellowcard
  • Stewart Nixon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Michael O'Connor 18'
  • yellowcard David Toure 72'
  • yellowcard Harry Jewitt-White 90'+4'