Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.04% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.