Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%) , while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.