Scottish League Cup Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2026 7.45pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 3 - 1 Elgin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw has a probability of 25.78% and a win for Raith Rovers has a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.11%) , while for a Raith Rovers win it is 0-1 (8.04%).

Result

Kilmarnock 48.66% (+0.26)
Draw 25.78% (-0.05)
Raith Rovers 25.61% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.4% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.94% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 48.51%
Under 2.5 51.49%
Over 3.5 27.08% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 72.92% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.2% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.8% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 34.45% (+0.15)
Draw 43.18% (-0.07)
Raith Rovers 22.37% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 54.47%
No Goal 7.69%
Raith Rovers 37.84%

Corners

Over 8 57.45% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 31.12% (-0.06)
Over 9 45.85% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 42.55% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 35.01% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.99% (-0.05)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 45.03% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 54.97% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 20.65% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 79.35% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 7.36% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.64% (-0.02)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 61.16% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 38.84% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 26.44% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 73.56% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 8.42% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 91.58% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.43% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.57% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 48.66%
Draw 25.77%
Raith Rovers 25.61%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.25% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.55% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.35% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.02% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.37% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.22% (+0.05)
Total : 48.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.02)
Total : 25.77%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.29% (-0.03)
Total : 25.61%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
  • Innes Cameron 42' goal
  • Stuart Findlay 80' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Stanton 33'
  • goal Dylan Easton 46'
  • goal Liam Dick 74'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Aidan Connolly 30' goal
  • Ben Williamson 56' yellowcard
  • Brad Spencer 80' yellowcard
  • goal Oli Shaw 50'
  • yellowcard Stephen McGinn 73'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Mar 2, 2022 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oli Shaw 43' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Varian 16'
  • yellowcard Ben Williamson 63'
  • goal Ross Matthews 66'
  • goal Aaron Arnott 87'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stephen McGinn 5' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 12' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 63' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dario Zanatta 58' goal
  • yellowcard Dylan McGowan 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Blair Alston 37' yellowcard
  • Callum Hendry 76' goal
  • Liam Polworth 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brad Spencer 14'
  • goal Liam Dick 20'
  • goal Matej Poplatnik 82'
  • yellowcard Matej Poplatnik 90'+1'
  • goal Matej Poplatnik 90'+3'