Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.62% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%) , while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.