Scottish League Cup Gameweek 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Borough Briggs

Elgin City vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 7.45pm
Elgin 1 - 3 Peterhead

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Raith Rovers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw has a probability of 22.18% and a win for Elgin City has a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.22%) , while for a Elgin City win it is 1-0 (5.53%).

Result

Elgin City 20.41% (-0.04)
Draw 22.18% (+0.01)
Kilmarnock 57.42% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.03% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 21.04% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.87% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 43.13% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 34.54%
Under 3.5 65.46%
Over 4.5 21.66% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.34% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Elgin City 23.83% (+0.03)
Draw 37.79% (-0.01)
Kilmarnock 38.38% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Elgin City 35.81% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.67%
Kilmarnock 58.52% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.2%
Equal 8 10.33%
Under 8 23.48% (+0.02)
Over 9 54.96%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 33.8%
Over 10.5 43.76%
Under 10.5 56.24%

Elgin City Goals

Over 1.5 24.7% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.3% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.8% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.2% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.27% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.73% (+0.02)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 82.44% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 17.56% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 55.38% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 44.62% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 29.94% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 70.06% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.2%
Under 3.5 86.8%

Score analysis

Elgin City 20.4%
Draw 22.19%
Kilmarnock 57.41%
Elgin City
1-0 @ 5.53% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.31%
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.26% (-0.02)
Total : 20.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67%
2-2 @ 5.13% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.19%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 9.87% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 8.93%
1-3 @ 6.08% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.97% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 13.19%
Total : 57.41%