Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Balmoor Stadium

Peterhead vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterhead

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Peterhead

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Hamilton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 59.55%. A win for Peterhead has a probability of 20.35% and a draw has a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Peterhead win is 2-1 (5.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.78%).

Result

Peterhead 20.35% (-0.02)
Draw 20.1% (-0.02)
Kilmarnock 59.55% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.63% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.27%
Under 1.5 17.73%
Over 2.5 62.31% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 37.69% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 40.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 59.19% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 26.54% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 73.46% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Peterhead 19.43% (+0.01)
Draw 37.12% (+0.02)
Kilmarnock 43.45% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Peterhead 32.87% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.46% (-0.03)
Kilmarnock 62.67% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 59.34% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.72%
Under 8 29.95% (-0.04)
Over 9 48.3% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 40.66% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 37.81% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 62.19% (-0.04)

Peterhead Goals

Over 1.5 26.76% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.24% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.74% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.26% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.1%
Under 3.5 96.9%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 84.13%
Under 0.5 15.87%
Over 1.5 59.47% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 40.53% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 34.52% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 65.48% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 16.16%
Under 3.5 83.84%

Score analysis

Peterhead 20.34%
Draw 20.1%
Kilmarnock 59.54%
Peterhead
2-1 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 20.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.1%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.41% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 7.04%
0-3 @ 5.73%
2-3 @ 4.04%
Other @ 16.01%
Total : 59.54%