Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2026 2.00pm
McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 18, 2025 3.00pm
St Johnstone 0 - 2 Dundee

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
Livingston 1 - 4 Kilmarnock

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Johnstone win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 21.67% and a draw has a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 0-1 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.37%).

Result

St Johnstone 56.63% (+0.08)
Draw 21.67% (-0.06)
Kilmarnock 21.67% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.3% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.96% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 23.04% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 53.53% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.47% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.6% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 68.4% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.14% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 80.86% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

St Johnstone 46.69% (-0.02)
Draw 36.55% (-0.02)
Kilmarnock 16.76% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

St Johnstone 67.59% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.86% (-0.05)
Kilmarnock 26.55% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64% (+0.43)
Equal 8 10.61% (-0.06)
Under 8 25.4% (-0.38)
Over 9 52.65% (+0.44)
Equal 9 11.35% (-0.01)
Under 9 36% (-0.43)
Over 10.5 41.5% (+0.43)
Under 10.5 58.5% (-0.41)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 1.5 52.67% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 47.33% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 26.86% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 73.14% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 11.31% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 88.69% (-0.07)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 56.23% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 43.77% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 24.12% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.88% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 7.85% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.28% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.72% (-0.02)

Score analysis

St Johnstone 56.63%
Draw 21.68%
Kilmarnock 21.67%
St Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.79% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 11.29% (+0.05)
Total : 56.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 21.68%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.26% (+0.01)
Total : 21.67%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Uche Ikpeazu 26' yellowcard
  • Elliot Watt 66' yellowcard
  • goal David Watson 12'
  • goal Danny Armstrong 53'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 74'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Liam Polworth 9' goal
  • Lewis Mayo 49' yellowcard
  • Fraser Murray 56' goal
  • Bobby Wales 60' goal
  • yellowcard Drey Wright 41'
  • goal Graham Carey 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
Nov 23, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Jason Holt 26' yellowcard
  • Mackenzie Kirk 53' goal
  • Andre Raymond 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 17'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 47'
  • redcard Liam Donnelly 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Rugby Park
  • J 2' yellowcard
  • Joe Wright 16' redcard
  • Robbie Deas 47' yellowcard
  • Danny Armstrong 75' yellowcard
  • Matty Kennedy 83' yellowcard
  • goal Adama Sidibeh 3'
  • yellowcard Matthew Smith 29'
  • goal Adama Sidibeh 33'
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Neilson 69'
  • goal Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka 81'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka 82'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDiarmid Park
  • goal Joe Wright 23'
  • goal Joe Wright 23'
  • goal Marley Watkins 81'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
  • David Watson 6' goal
  • Marley Watkins 17' goal
  • goal Nicky Clark 61'
  • yellowcard Dimitar Mitov 64'