Scottish Premiership
St Johnstone
Aug 2, 2026 2.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT McDiarmid Park
Kilmarnock
  • Josh Fowler 16' goal
  • C. Diabate 47' goal
  • Liam Smith 45'+4' yellowcard
  • C. Diabate 52' yellowcard
  • Michael Schjönning-Larsen 69' goal
  • Kai Fotheringham 80' goal
  • yellowcard Tyreece John-Jules 21'
  • goal Greg Kiltie 37'
  • goal Joe Hugill 49'
  • goal J. Holt 53' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jamie Brandon 82'

St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 18, 2025 3.00pm
St Johnstone 0 - 2 Dundee

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
Livingston 1 - 4 Kilmarnock

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.69% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.16%).

Result

St Johnstone 56.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 21.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Kilmarnock 21.64% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.19% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.89% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 53.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 68.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 19.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 80.95% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

St Johnstone 46.69%
Draw 36.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Kilmarnock 16.74% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

St Johnstone 67.66% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 5.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Kilmarnock 26.46% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 63.83% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 25.58% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 52.51% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 36.17% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 41.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 58.6% ▲ (+0.11)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 1.5 52.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 11.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 88.75% ▲ (+0.07)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 56.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 75.94% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 92.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.75% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

St Johnstone 56.66%
Draw 21.69%
Kilmarnock 21.63%
St Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 11.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 56.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 21.69%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.63%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
St Johnstone
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT McDiarmid Park
Kilmarnock
  • Uche Ikpeazu 26' yellowcard
  • Elliot Watt 66' yellowcard
  • goal David Watson 12'
  • goal Danny Armstrong 53'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 74'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Kilmarnock
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
St Johnstone
  • Liam Polworth 9' goal
  • Lewis Mayo 49' yellowcard
  • Fraser Murray 56' goal
  • Bobby Wales 60' goal
  • yellowcard Drey Wright 41'
  • goal Graham Carey 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
St Johnstone
Nov 23, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT McDiarmid Park
Kilmarnock
  • Jason Holt 26' yellowcard
  • Mackenzie Kirk 53' goal
  • Andre Raymond 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 17'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 47'
  • redcard Liam Donnelly 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Kilmarnock
Aug 11, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Rugby Park
St Johnstone
  • J 2' yellowcard
  • Joe Wright 16' redcard
  • Robbie Deas 47' yellowcard
  • Danny Armstrong 75' yellowcard
  • Matty Kennedy 83' yellowcard
  • goal Adama Sidibeh 3'
  • yellowcard Matthew Smith 29'
  • goal Adama Sidibeh 33'
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Neilson 69'
  • goal Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka 81'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka 82'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
St Johnstone
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDiarmid Park
Kilmarnock
  • goal Joe Wright 23'
  • goal Joe Wright 23'
  • goal Marley Watkins 81'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
St Johnstone
  • David Watson 6' goal
  • Marley Watkins 17' goal
  • goal Nicky Clark 61'
  • yellowcard Dimitar Mitov 64'

Form Data

St Johnstone 1 - 1 East Fife
Inverness 1 - 0 St Johnstone
St Johnstone 3 - 0 Morton
Linlithgow 0 - 2 St Johnstone
Cove Rangers 2 - 4 St Johnstone
Montrose 0 - 3 St Johnstone
Peterhead 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Hamilton
Elgin 0 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Linfield 2 - 3 Kilmarnock
Glentoran 0 - 4 Kilmarnock