Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.