Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
| 36.1% ( | 24.73% ( | 39.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( | 44.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( | 66.84% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( | 24.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% ( | 58.56% ( |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( | 22.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( | 56.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0-3 @ 3% ( 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.17% |