Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Hearts |
| 26.88% ( | 25.25% ( | 47.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% ( | 50.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.73% ( | 72.27% ( |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( | 33.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% ( | 69.82% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( | 21.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.16% ( | 53.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 3-0 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.88% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0-3 @ 4.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.87% |