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Ross County
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
Global Energy Stadium
Hearts logo

Ross County
1 - 3
Hearts

Hale (26')
Ashworth (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Shankland (40', 58'), Forrest (82')
Vargas (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Ross County and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Ross County
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Dundee
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Ross CountyDrawHearts
26.88% (0.67 0.67)25.25% (0.605 0.61)47.87% (-1.277 -1.28)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-1.34 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68% (-2.034 -2.03)50.32% (2.031 2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (-1.831 -1.83)72.27% (1.83 1.83)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (-0.54299999999999 -0.54)33.21% (0.541 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (-0.602 -0.6)69.82% (0.601 0.6)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (-1.355 -1.35)21.04% (1.354 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (-2.156 -2.16)53.84% (2.155 2.16)
Score Analysis
    Ross County 26.88%
    Hearts 47.87%
    Draw 25.24%
Ross CountyDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.7% (0.507 0.51)
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.221 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 26.88%
1-1 @ 12% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.557 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 10.89% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 8.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.86% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-3 @ 4.41% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.87%

How you voted: Ross County vs Hearts

Ross County
21.7%
Draw
17.4%
Hearts
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 30
Hearts
2-0
Ross County
Kabangu (26'), Grant (89')

Lopata (21'), Randall (74')
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Ross County
2-2
Hearts
Nisbet (90+7'), White (90+9')
Wilson (2', 48')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hearts
1-1
Ross County
Shankland (90+6')
Vargas (13')
Hale (35')
Campbell (11'), Hale (42'), Randall (56'), Leak (59')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Ross County
2-1
Hearts
Murray (42', 49')
Dhanda (55'), Loturi (80')
Oda (90+1')
Shankland (63')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Hearts
2-2
Ross County
Vargas (71'), Shankland (79')
Atkinson (41'), Forrest (51')
Cochrane (55' og.), Dhanda (61')
Sims (81'), Leak (90+7')