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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Dundee logo

St Johnstone
0 - 2
Dundee


Griffith (46'), Holt (54'), Sidibeh (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cameron (28', 90+6' pen.)
Robertson (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 2-1 St Johnstone
Wednesday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-1 Ross County
Wednesday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawDundee
44.01% (0.177 0.18)24.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.7% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.16 -0.16)43.52% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.157 -0.16)65.91% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (-0.2 -0.2)26.34% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (-0.267 -0.27)61.47% (0.266 0.27)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 44.01%
    Dundee 31.7%
    Draw 24.28%
St JohnstoneDrawDundee
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.7%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Dundee

St Johnstone
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Dundee
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 29
Dundee
1-1
St Johnstone
Murray (43')
Garza (50'), Murray (86')
Kirk (40')
Jan 5, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 22
St Johnstone
1-3
Dundee
McPake (67')
Carey (57')
Murray (3'), Palmer-Houlden (10'), Cameron (22')
Robertson (5'), Murray (29'), Sylla (30'), Mulligan (44'), Garza (80')
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dundee
1-2
St Johnstone
Murray (12')
Ingram (41'), Main (62'), Cameron (80')
Carey (64'), Clark (90')
Sprangler (55'), Neilson (75')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
St Johnstone
1-2
Dundee
Sidibeh (60')
Kucheriavyi (31'), Keltjens (42'), Robinson (71'), Smith (90+4'), McGowan (90+7')
Cameron (6'), Bakayoko (80')
Mellon (82')
Feb 11, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Dundee
2-1
St Johnstone
McCowan (75' pen.), McGhee (89')
McGhee (17'), Costelloe (48'), Bakayoko (69'), Mellon (83')
Smith (9')
Gordon (74'), Mitov (75'), Kucheriavyi (88')