Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 65.25% ( | 19.8% | 14.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% ( | 42.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( | 64.64% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.84% ( | 12.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.22% ( | 37.77% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% ( | 40.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.62% ( | 77.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% 1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 4-0 @ 4.08% 4-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 5-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.5% Total : 65.24% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.45% 1-2 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 1-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.73% Total : 14.95% |