Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
36
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-
Lawrence Shankland
30'
-
Cameron Devlin
48'
-
Lawrence Shankland
60'
-
Alan Forrest
62'
-
Craig Halkett
80'
-
Andy Halliday
45'+1'
-
Lennon Miller
54'
Hearts vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result
Hearts
62.9%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
20.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Motherwell
16.54%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
53.2%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.48%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
42.52%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
35.08%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
64.92%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
18.32%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
81.68%
▼
(-0.06)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5
87.09%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
12.91%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
60.67%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
39.33%
▼
(-0.18)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5
61.09%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
38.91%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
24.36%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
75.64%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Hearts
62.89%
Draw
20.56%
Motherwell
16.54%
Hearts
2-0
@
10.52%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 62.89%
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 62.89%
Draw
1-1
@
9.71%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.56%
0-0 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.56%
Motherwell
0-1
@
4.74%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 16.54%
1-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 16.54%
Head to Head
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
33
-
Sander Kartum
23'
-
Sander Kartum
23'
-
Adam Forrester
35'
-
Adam Forrester
35'
-
Beni Baningime
66'
-
Beni Baningime
66'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
21
-
Musa Drammeh
7'
-
Adam Forrester
66'
-
Cameron Devlin
67'
-
Jorge Grant
83'
-
Dan Casey
65'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
3
-
Paul McGinn
24'
-
Andy Halliday
42'
-
Stephen O'Donnell
60'
-
Tom Sparrow
81'
-
Frankie Kent
45'+1'
-
Cameron Devlin
58'
-
Andres Salazar
62'
-
Yutaro Oda
65'
-
Stephen Kingsley
76'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
26
-
Lawrence Shankland
23'
-
Lawrence Shankland
67'
-
Kenneth Vargas
90'+2'
-
Stuart Kettlewell
24'
-
Davor Zdravkovski
69'
-
Sam Nicholson
88'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
13
-
Harry Paton
40'
-
Harry Paton
40'
-
Callum Slattery
62'
-
Callum Slattery
62'
-
Blair Spittal
78'
-
Calum Butcher
79'
-
Georgie Gent
89'
-
Lawrence Shankland
27'
-
Lawrence Shankland
27'
-
Lawrence Shankland
71'
-
Toby Sibbick
86'
-
Beni Baningime
89'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
4
-
Cameron Devlin
71'
-
Callum Slattery
29'
-
Paul McGinn
36'
-
Paul McGinn
69'
-
Dan Casey
71'
-
Oli Shaw
90'