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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Motherwell logo

Hearts
3 - 0
Motherwell

Shankland (30', 60'), Forrest (62')
Devlin (48'), Halkett (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Halliday (45+1'), Miller (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 1-3 Hearts
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawMotherwell
62.9% (0.209 0.21)20.56% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)16.54% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.2% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (0.076999999999998 0.08)42.52% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (0.076999999999998 0.08)64.92% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (0.084000000000003 0.08)12.91% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.67% (0.174 0.17)39.33% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (-0.121 -0.12)38.91% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (-0.116 -0.12)75.64% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 62.89%
    Motherwell 16.54%
    Draw 20.56%
HeartsDrawMotherwell
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 62.89%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.56%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 16.54%

How you voted: Hearts vs Motherwell

Hearts
94.4%
Draw
0.0%
Motherwell
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 33
Motherwell
0-0
Hearts
Kartum (23'), Forrester (35'), Baningime (66')
Jan 2, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 21
Hearts
1-0
Motherwell
Drammeh (7')
Forrester (66'), Devlin (67'), Grant (83')

Casey (65')
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
3-1
Hearts
McGinn (24'), O'Donnell (60'), Sparrow (81')
Halliday (42')
Oda (65')
Kent (45+1'), Devlin (58'), Salazar (62'), Kingsley (76')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Shankland (67'), Vargas (90+2')
Shankland (23')

Kettlewell (24'), Zdravkovski (69'), Nicholson (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Motherwell
1-2
Hearts
Spittal (78' pen.)
Paton (40'), Slattery (62'), Butcher (79'), Gent (89')
Shankland (27', 71')
Sibbick (86'), Baningime (89')
rhs 2.0


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