MX23RW : Monday, May 12 05:04:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Motherwell logo

Hearts
3 - 0
Motherwell

Shankland (30', 60'), Forrest (62')
Devlin (48'), Halkett (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Halliday (45+1'), Miller (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 1-3 Hearts
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Motherwell

Motherwell may be in greater form than their hosts, but the Jambos have defeated the Steelmen in five of the last six meetings at Tynecastle Park, leading us to expect a home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawMotherwell
62.9% (0.209 0.21) 20.56% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 16.54% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.2% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (0.076999999999998 0.08)42.52% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (0.076999999999998 0.08)64.92% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (0.084000000000003 0.08)12.91% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.67% (0.174 0.17)39.33% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (-0.121 -0.12)38.91% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (-0.116 -0.12)75.64% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 62.89%
    Motherwell 16.54%
    Draw 20.56%
HeartsDrawMotherwell
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 62.89%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.56%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 16.54%

How you voted: Hearts vs Motherwell

Hearts
94.4%
Draw
0.0%
Motherwell
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 33
Motherwell
0-0
Hearts
Kartum (23'), Forrester (35'), Baningime (66')
Jan 2, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 21
Hearts
1-0
Motherwell
Drammeh (7')
Forrester (66'), Devlin (67'), Grant (83')

Casey (65')
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
3-1
Hearts
McGinn (24'), O'Donnell (60'), Sparrow (81')
Halliday (42')
Oda (65')
Kent (45+1'), Devlin (58'), Salazar (62'), Kingsley (76')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Shankland (67'), Vargas (90+2')
Shankland (23')

Kettlewell (24'), Zdravkovski (69'), Nicholson (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Motherwell
1-2
Hearts
Spittal (78' pen.)
Paton (40'), Slattery (62'), Butcher (79'), Gent (89')
Shankland (27', 71')
Sibbick (86'), Baningime (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic3210106248288
2RangersRangers312075383771
3Hibernian310258461256
4Aberdeen31024654-853
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd30034250-850
6St Mirren32105056-648
Relegation Group
1Hearts32014946346
2Motherwell32014262-2045
3Kilmarnock33004560-1544
4Dundee31025476-2237
5Ross County30033563-2835
RSt Johnstone31023764-2732
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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