Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
| 44.13% ( | 24.17% ( | 31.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( | 42.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( | 65.36% ( |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( | 19.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( | 51.63% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( | 26.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( | 61.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.7% |