Scottish Cup
Hearts
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
Dundee
  • Sander Kartum 27' goal
  • Simon Murray 64' goal
  • Sander Kartum 68' goal
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 81' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Shaughnessy 51'
  • yellowcard Mohamad Sylla 56'

Hearts vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Dundee

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dundee win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result

Hearts 60.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 20.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Dundee 19% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 39.75% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 37.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 62.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 20.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 87.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 60.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 39.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 65.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.18% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Hearts 60.12%
Draw 20.87%
Dundee 19%
Hearts
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 60.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.87%
Dundee
1-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 19%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Dundee
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Hearts
  • Imari Samuels 38' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 15'
  • goal Blair Spittal 17'
  • goal Elton Kabangu 51'
  • goal Musa Drammeh 67'
  • goal Elton Kabangu 77'
  • goal Kenneth Vargas 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Hearts
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tynecastle Park
Dundee
  • Lawrence Shankland 21' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 31' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 62' yellowcard
  • James Penrice 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Mulligan 84'
  • yellowcard Simon Murray 86'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ingram 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Dundee
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Hearts
  • Scott Tiffoney 23' goal
  • Tony Docherty 27' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 28' yellowcard
  • Antonio Portales 43' yellowcard
  • Gerald Taylor 45'+2' goal
  • Luke McCowan 45'+5' goal
  • Ziyad Larkeche 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 26'
  • yellowcard Gerald Taylor 42'
  • goal Frankie Kent 61'
  • yellowcard James Penrice 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
Hearts
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
Dundee
  • Kenneth Vargas 35' goal
  • Alan Forrest 53' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 90' goal
  • yellowcard Amadou Bakayoko 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Luke McCowan 57'
  • yellowcard Aaron Donnelly 76'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Dundee
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Hearts
  • Jordan McGhee 26' goal
  • Amadou Bakayoko 33' yellowcard
  • Malachi Boateng 43' yellowcard
  • Lyall Cameron 59' goal
  • Luke McCowan 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Naismith 34'
  • goal Alan Forrest 55'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 79'
  • yellowcard Alex Cochrane 84'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 87'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Hearts
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tynecastle Park
Dundee
  • Dexter Lembikisa 49' yellowcard
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 57' goal
  • Dexter Lembikisa 74' goal
  • Yutaro Oda 86' goal
  • goal Jordan McGhee 19'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 38'
  • yellowcard Jordan McGhee 41'
  • yellowcard Dara Costelloe 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Amadou Bakayoko 60'
  • yellowcard Owen Dodgson 65'
  • yellowcard Curtis Main 77'
  • yellowcard Lee Ashcroft 79'

Form Data

Hibernian 2 - 1 Hearts
Hearts 3 - 1 St Mirren
St Johnstone 1 - 2 Hearts
Hearts 1 - 3 Rangers
St Mirren 1 - 1 Hearts
Dundee 0 - 6 Hearts
Dundee 1 - 1 St Johnstone
Motherwell 2 - 1 Dundee
Ross County 3 - 1 Dundee
Dundee 1 - 2 Aberdeen
Dundee 4 - 0 Airdrieonians
Celtic 6 - 0 Dundee