Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36

May 10, 2025 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
3 - 2
Dundee

Armstrong (31' pen.), Anderson (77'), Deas (90+1')
Donnelly (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cameron (76', 90+5')
Palmer-Houlden (30'), Larkeche (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 12.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Dundee win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee
67.97% ( 0.02)	19.17% ( -0.01)	12.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.41% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.94% (

0.04)

44.06% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.56% (

0.04)

66.44% (

-0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.06% (

0.02)

11.94% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.68% (

0.03)

37.32% (

-0.04)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.98% (

0.01)

45.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.05% (

0.01)

80.95% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 67.97%

Dundee 12.86%

Draw 19.17%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee
2-0 @ 12.14% 1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 67.97%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.17%	0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.03% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.86%