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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee logo

Kilmarnock
3 - 2
Dundee

Armstrong (31' pen.), Anderson (77'), Deas (90+1')
Donnelly (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cameron (76', 90+5')
Palmer-Houlden (30'), Larkeche (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Dundee

A closely-contested battle is set to be played out in Perth and while Dundee will once again rely on the prolific form of Murray in attack, we are backing Kilmarnock to build on their recent upturn in form and collect maximum points to all but guarantee their survival, with or without McInnes in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 12.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Dundee win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee
67.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 19.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 12.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.41% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94% (0.037999999999997 0.04)44.06% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)66.44% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.06% (0.016000000000005 0.02)11.94% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.68% (0.034999999999997 0.03)37.32% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (0.012 0.01)45.02% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (0.009999999999998 0.01)80.95% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 67.97%
    Dundee 12.86%
    Draw 19.17%
KilmarnockDrawDundee
2-0 @ 12.14%
1-0 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 67.97%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.17%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.03%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 12.86%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee

Kilmarnock
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Dundee
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee
Wales (80')
Murray (61'), Deas (82')
Cameron (71')
McGhee (9'), Koumetio (38')
Nov 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Dundee
3-2
Kilmarnock
Palmer-Houlden (41'), McGhee (56'), Larkeche (90+4')
Adewumi (60'), Ndaba (78')
Anderson (24'), Kennedy (40')
Larkeche (78')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Dundee
2-3
Kilmarnock
Larkeche (24'), Adewumi (81')
Sylla (30'), Murray (38')
Sylla (43')
Kennedy (86', 90+4'), Anderson (88')
Mayo (60')
May 18, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Dundee
1-1
Kilmarnock
McCowan (37')
Main (72')
Mackay-Steven (24')
Wright (49'), Deas (76')
Deas (85')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Dennis (11' og.), McCowan (63' pen.)
Beck (39'), A (90+4')
Watkins (35')
Vassell (49'), Ndaba (67'), Deas (90+2'), van Veen (90+7'), van Veen (90+7')
Mayo (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic3210106248288
2RangersRangers312075383771
3Hibernian310258461256
4Aberdeen31024654-853
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd30034250-850
6St Mirren32105056-648
Relegation Group
1Hearts32014946346
2Motherwell32014262-2045
3Kilmarnock33004560-1544
4Dundee31025476-2237
5Ross County30033563-2835
RSt Johnstone31023764-2732
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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