Scottish League Cup Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs St Johnstone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Linlithgow 0 - 2 Inverness

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
St Johnstone 3 - 0 Morton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Johnstone win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle has a probability of 26.18% and a draw has a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 1-0 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 26.18% (+0.04)
Draw 26.14% (-0.01)
St Johnstone 47.68% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.75% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.3%
Under 1.5 24.7%
Over 2.5 50.72% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.28% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 28.91% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 71.09% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.96% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.04% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 22.01% (-0.03)
Draw 39.46% (-0.01)
St Johnstone 38.53% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36.47% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.01%
St Johnstone 56.52% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.25% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 29.83% (-0.05)
Over 9 48.01% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.25% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.75% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 37.33% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 62.67% (-0.02)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 28.64% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.36% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.61% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.39% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.97% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.03% (-0.02)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5 76.95% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.05% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.66% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.34% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 21.96% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 78.04% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.17% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.83% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 26.18%
Draw 26.14%
St Johnstone 47.68%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 7.43% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.21% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.73% (+0.01)
Total : 26.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 26.14%
St Johnstone
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.65%
0-3 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.93% (+0.01)
Total : 47.68%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Cameron MacPherson 5' yellowcard
  • Stevie May 46' goal
  • Cameron MacPherson 53' goal
  • Callum Hendry 88' goal
  • Shaun Rooney 90' goal
  • yellowcard David Carson 20'
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 71'
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Reece McAlear 73' goal
  • Reece McAlear 80' goal
  • goal Shaun Rooney 18'
  • goal Melker Hallberg 24'
  • yellowcard Glenn Middleton 52'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 12, 2019 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Keatings 36' goal
  • Nikolay Todorov 67' goal
  • Matheus Machado 85' goal
  • goal Scott Tanser 51'
Scottish Premiership
Apr 8, 2017 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lamell Cole 81' yellowcard
  • Larnell Cole 82' redcard
  • goal Steven MacLean 40'
  • yellowcard Blair Alston 65'
  • goal Liam Craig 88'
  • goal Graham Cummins 91'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 3, 2016 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Liam Craig 14' goal
  • Michael Coulson 57' yellowcard
  • Murray Davidson 62' goal
  • David Wotherspoon 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel Swanson 81' goal
  • yellowcard Ross Draper 45'
  • yellowcard Lonsana Doumbouya 51'
  • yellowcard Gary Warren 60'
  • redcard Gary Warren 61'