Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.23% and a win for Nairn County had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%) , while for a Nairn County win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.