Scottish League One
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Daniel Devine 4' goal
  • Billy McKay 26' goal
  • Oscar MacIntyre 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Calum MacLeod 72' yellowcard
  • Ben Brannan 80' yellowcard
  • Chanka Zimba 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregor Crookston 68'
  • goal Kevin O'Hara 83'
  • yellowcard Stephen Hendrie 84'
  • yellowcard Dominic Shiels 84'
  • yellowcard Oli Shaw 90'+2'

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
East Fife 1 - 1 Inverness
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Chanka Zimba

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Hamilton 3 - 1 Peterhead
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Oli Shaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.22% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.09%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%) , while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 72.84%
Draw 16.22%
Hamilton Academical 10.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.56% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.37% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 15.63% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 64.98%
Under 2.5 35.02%
Over 3.5 41.78% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 58.22% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 29.78% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 70.22% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 53.89%
Draw 32.11%
Hamilton Academical 14%

Team To Score First

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 73.99%
No Goal 3.69% (-0.03)
Hamilton Academical 22.32% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.86% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.36% (-0.03)
Under 8 30.78% (-0.11)
Over 9 46.29% (+0.14)
Equal 9 11.57% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.14% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 35.46% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 64.54% (-0.12)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 69.76% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 30.24% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 43.87% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 56.13% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 23.34% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 76.66% (+0.08)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 44.14% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 55.86% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 16.76% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 83.24% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 4.82% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 95.18% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.17% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.83% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 72.84%
Draw 16.23%
Hamilton Academical 10.99%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-0 @ 10.76% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 10.09% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.03% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 23.12% (-0.10)
Total : 72.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.45% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.89% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 16.23%
Hamilton Academical
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.68%
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.95% (+0.03)
Total : 10.99%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Feb 14, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT New Douglas Park
  • Tony Gallacher 46' yellowcard
  • Ben Black 86' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Bavidge 37'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 69'
  • yellowcard George McCartney 69'
  • yellowcard Kieron Willox 82'
  • yellowcard Jordan Alonge 87'
Scottish League One
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mitchell Robertson 3' goal
  • Chanka Zimba 41' goal
  • Alfie Bavidge 53' goal
  • Billy Mckay 74' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle MacDonald 27'
  • yellowcard Stephen Hendrie 57'
  • yellowcard Stephen Hendrie 59'
Scottish League One
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Playoffs
May 18, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Cammy Kerr 31' goal
  • Alex Samuel 90'+8' goal
  • goal Kevin O'Hara 8'
  • goal Lewis Smith 12'
  • goal Kevin O'Hara 41'
  • yellowcard Reghan Tumilty 43'
  • yellowcard Ben Williamson 51'
  • yellowcard Scott Martin 82'
Scottish Championship Playoffs
May 15, 2024 8.05pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Kevin O'Hara 6' goal
  • Fergus Owens 22' goal
  • Kevin O'Hara 43' yellowcard
  • goal Aribim Pepple 68'
  • yellowcard Adam Brooks 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Smith 72' goal
  • goal Nathan Shaw 75'
  • goal Billy Mckay 88'