Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.