Scottish League One
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park
  • Craig Brown 61' yellowcard
  • Ewan Loudon 61' yellowcard
  • Lewis Gibson 79' yellowcard
  • Angus Stevenson 79' yellowcard
  • Keir Bertie 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ewan Simpson 3'
  • goal Kyle MacDonald 5'
  • goal Alexander Hutton 78'
  • yellowcard Marcus Syme 86'
  • yellowcard Dominic Shiels 90'+2'

Montrose vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 3 - 1 Montrose
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Callum Sandilands

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Hamilton 1 - 0 Alloa
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Oli Shaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Montrose 43.14% (-0.18)
Draw 23.89% (+0.08)
Hamilton Academical 32.97% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.68% (+0.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.07% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 16.93% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 63.48% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 36.52% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 41.1% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 58.9% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 25.37% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 74.63% (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Montrose 32.97% (-0.85)
Draw 38.25% (-0.94)
Hamilton Academical 28.78% (+1.79)

Team To Score First

Montrose 53.15% (+0.37)
No Goal 4.51% (+0.28)
Hamilton Academical 42.34% (-0.65)

Corners

Over 8 53.61% (-1.61)
Equal 8 11.87% (+0.04)
Under 8 34.52% (+1.58)
Over 9 41.9% (-1.51)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.10)
Under 9 46.39% (+1.61)
Over 10.5 31.3% (-1.31)
Under 10.5 68.7% (+1.30)

Montrose Goals

Over 1.5 49.25% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 50.75% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 24.24% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.76% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.17% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 89.83% (-0.16)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 69.86% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 30.14% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 40.53% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 59.47% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 18.07% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 81.93% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 6.63% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 93.37% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Montrose 43.14%
Draw 23.89%
Hamilton Academical 32.97%
Montrose
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.25)
1-0 @ 6.94% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 5.7% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.59% (+0.10)
Total : 43.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.28)
2-2 @ 6.86% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.51% (+0.28)
3-3 @ 2.06% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.58% (+0.06)
Total : 23.89%
Hamilton Academical
1-2 @ 8.05% (+0.22)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.01% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 3.55% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.15)
Other @ 6.05%
Total : 32.97%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT New Douglas Park
  • Ewan Simpson 46' yellowcard
  • Ben Black 46' yellowcard
  • Lee Kilday 63' goal
  • goal Kieran Freeman 41'
  • yellowcard Craig Brown 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 75'
  • yellowcard Tommy North 75'
  • yellowcard Graham Webster 75'
  • yellowcard Aidan Quinn 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
Scottish League One
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Links Park
  • Blair Lyons 25' goal
  • goal Jamie Barjonas 24'
  • goal Reghan Tumilty 73'
Scottish League One Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Kevin O'Hara 16' goal
  • yellowcard Blair Lyons 31'
  • yellowcard Liam Callaghan 79'
  • goal Luke Graham 84'
Scottish League One Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park
  • Craig Brown 53' yellowcard
  • Miller Thomson 60' yellowcard
  • Sean Dillon 72' yellowcard
  • Paul Watson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan McGowan 27'
  • yellowcard Scott Martin 37'
  • goal Joe McGlynn 41'
  • goal Jamie Barjonas 58'
  • goal Kyle MacDonald 85'
  • yellowcard Jackson Longridge 90'+4'