Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.