Scottish League One
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Cameron Cooper 62' yellowcard
  • Aaron Arnott 80' yellowcard
  • Sam Fisher 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Allan 29'
  • yellowcard Lawton Green 33'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 46'
  • yellowcard Liam Smith 46'
  • goal Jordan Allan 51'
  • yellowcard Mikey Hewitt 89'

Kelty Hearts vs Queen of the South - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Hamilton 1 - 2 Kelty Hearts
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Ricco Diack

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
Inverness 1 - 1 QotS
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Matty Douglas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Kelty Hearts 25.96% (+0.45)
Draw 24.62% (-0.06)
Queen of the South 49.37% (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.04% (+0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.66% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 25.34% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 50.13% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 49.87% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 28.87% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 71.13% (-0.67)
Over 4.5 16.38% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 83.62% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Kelty Hearts 22.48% (-0.60)
Draw 40.6% (+0.45)
Queen of the South 36.92% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Kelty Hearts 36.32% (-0.47)
No Goal 6.96% (-0.39)
Queen of the South 56.72% (+0.86)

Corners

Over 8 45.55% (-0.75)
Equal 8 11.74% (-0.23)
Under 8 42.71% (+0.99)
Over 9 34.67% (-0.49)
Equal 9 10.88% (-0.27)
Under 9 54.45% (+0.75)
Over 10.5 25.37% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 74.63% (+0.22)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 27.53% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 72.47% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 9.09% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 90.91% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 2.68% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.32% (-0.09)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5 77.45% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 22.55% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 46.05% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 53.95% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 21.32% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 78.68% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.85% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 92.15% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Kelty Hearts 25.96%
Draw 24.62%
Queen of the South 49.37%
Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.14% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.27% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 2.39% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 1.89% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.67% (+0.09)
Total : 25.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.39)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.62%
Queen of the South
0-1 @ 11% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 9.53% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.39% (-0.18)
1-3 @ 5.18% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 3.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.84% (-0.16)
Total : 49.37%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 21
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Palmerston Park
Scottish League One
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT New Central Park
  • Jacob MacIntyre 4' goal
  • Thomas O'Ware 34' yellowcard
  • Robbie Cole 76' yellowcard
  • Brody Paterson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Lussint 29'
  • yellowcard Jack Hannah 30'
  • goal Jordan Allan 63'
  • goal Kai Kennedy 70'
Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Palmerston Park
  • Kyle Doherty 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Liam Smith 55' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Moore 45'+5'
Scottish League One Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Callum Flatman 14' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 65' goal
  • Thomas O'Ware 80' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 87' goal