Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.