Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.