Apr 11, 2026 5.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Ochilview Park

Euan O'Reilly 46'
Dale Carrick 66'
Olly Whyte 78'
Scott McGill 78'
Leyton Grant 78'
Finlay Gray 78'
Matthew Aitken 81'
Matthew Aitken 82'

Calum MacLeod 15'
Liam Sole 88'
Ben Brannan 90'

Stenhousemuir vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

W
D
W
W
D
W

Scottish League One

W
D
W
W
D
W

Last game

Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm

Stenhousemuir 3 - 0 Hamilton

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Olly Whyte

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

L
D
D
W
D
W

Scottish League One

D
D
W
D
W
D

Last game

Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm

Inverness 1 - 1 QotS

Goals scored

56

Top scorer

Chanka Zimba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Stenhousemuir 32.79%

Draw 26.43%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 40.78%

Both Teams to Score:

54.03% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 24.46% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 51.81%

Under 2.5 48.19%

Over 3.5 28.51% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 71.49% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 15.75% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 84.25% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Stenhousemuir 28.8%

Draw 42.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Stenhousemuir 45.38% ▲ (+0.02)

No Goal 7.11%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 47.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 45.89%

Equal 8 11.43%

Under 8 42.68%

Over 9 35.26%

Equal 9 10.63%

Under 9 54.11%

Over 10.5 26.12%

Under 10.5 73.88%

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 1.5 34.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 65.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 12.98% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 87.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 4.1%

Under 3.5 95.9%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 73.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 26.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 40.56%

Under 1.5 59.44%

Over 2.5 17.26%

Under 2.5 82.74%

Over 3.5 5.98%

Under 3.5 94.02%

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 32.79%

Draw 26.43%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 40.78%

Stenhousemuir

1-0 @ 8.15%

2-1 @ 8.01%

2-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 3.9%

Total : 32.79%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.43%

0-0 @ 7.11%

2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.11%

Other @ 0.2%

Total : 26.43%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

1-2 @ 9.28%

0-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 6.35%

1-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 2.67%

Other @ 5.78%

Total : 40.78%

Head to Head

Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 2 1

FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

19'
Alfie Bavidge 19'
George McCartney 62'
Adam Mackinnon 72'
Jordan Alonge 72'
Oscar MacIntyre 78'

Olly Whyte 6'
Ross Taylor 60'
Finlay Gray 74'

Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Alfie Bavidge 57'
Chanka Zimba 66'
Alfie Bavidge 73'
Liam Sole 81'
Jordan Alonge 81'

Dale Carrick 66'
Oliver Simpson 66'
Zeke Cameron 78'
Nicky Jamieson 78'

Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Leyton Grant 39'
39'
Leyton Grant 44'
Ross Taylor 55'
Archie Graham 60'
60'
Olly Whyte 65'
Matthew Aitken 79'
Leyton Grant 84'
84'
Leyton Grant 85'

Daniel Devine 26'

Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Ochilview Park

Matthew Aitken 62'
Charlie Gilmour 90'+1'

Billy Mckay 56'
Charlie Gilmour 90'+1'

Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm

4

1

HT : 2 1

FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Ben Brannan 2'
Charlie Gilmour 16'
Keith Bray 48'
Paul Allan 51'
Paul Allan 60'
Keith Bray 63'

Ewan O'Reilly 10'
Michael Anderson 72'
76'

Form Data

Stenhousemuir 3 - 0 Hamilton

East Fife 2 - 2 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Kelty Hearts

Peterhead 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir

QotS 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Hamilton 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Raith Rovers 4 - 1 Inverness

Inverness 1 - 1 QotS

Alloa 1 - 1 Inverness

Inverness 3 - 1 Peterhead

Inverness 1 - 1 Cove Rangers

Inverness 3 - 1 Montrose