Scottish League One Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2026 5.30pm
Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 3 - 0 Hamilton
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Olly Whyte

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
Inverness 1 - 1 QotS
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Stenhousemuir has a probability of 32.79% and a draw has a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win is 1-0 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Stenhousemuir 32.79%
Draw 26.43%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 40.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.03% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.54% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.46% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 51.81%
Under 2.5 48.19%
Over 3.5 28.51% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.49% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.75% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.25% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Stenhousemuir 28.8%
Draw 42.08% (+0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.12% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Stenhousemuir 45.38% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.11%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 47.51% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 45.89%
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 42.68%
Over 9 35.26%
Equal 9 10.63%
Under 9 54.11%
Over 10.5 26.12%
Under 10.5 73.88%

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 1.5 34.2% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.8% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.98% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.02% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.1%
Under 3.5 95.9%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 73.27% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 26.73% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.56%
Under 1.5 59.44%
Over 2.5 17.26%
Under 2.5 82.74%
Over 3.5 5.98%
Under 3.5 94.02%

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 32.79%
Draw 26.43%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 40.78%
Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 32.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 26.43%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.35%
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67%
Other @ 5.78%
Total : 40.78%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • 19' goal
  • Alfie Bavidge 19' goal
  • George McCartney 62' yellowcard
  • Adam Mackinnon 72' yellowcard
  • Jordan Alonge 72' yellowcard
  • Oscar MacIntyre 78' yellowcard
  • goal Olly Whyte 6'
  • yellowcard Ross Taylor 60'
  • yellowcard Finlay Gray 74'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Alfie Bavidge 57' yellowcard
  • Chanka Zimba 66' yellowcard
  • Alfie Bavidge 73' goal
  • Liam Sole 81' yellowcard
  • Jordan Alonge 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dale Carrick 66'
  • yellowcard Oliver Simpson 66'
  • yellowcard Zeke Cameron 78'
  • yellowcard Nicky Jamieson 78'
Scottish League One
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leyton Grant 39' yellowcard
  • 39' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 44' yellowcard
  • Ross Taylor 55' yellowcard
  • Archie Graham 60' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Olly Whyte 65' goal
  • Matthew Aitken 79' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 84' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 26'
Scottish League One
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matthew Aitken 62' yellowcard
  • Charlie Gilmour 90'+1' goal
  • goal Billy Mckay 56'
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Ben Brannan 2' goal
  • Charlie Gilmour 16' goal
  • Keith Bray 48' goal
  • Paul Allan 51' goal
  • Paul Allan 60' yellowcard
  • Keith Bray 63' yellowcard
  • goal Ewan O'Reilly 10'
  • yellowcard Michael Anderson 72'
  • yellowcard 76'