Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 9, 2026 1.30pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 2.00pm
St Johnstone 4 - 3 Kilmarnock

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 3, 2026 7.30pm
Celtic 1 - 0 Dundee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 29.95% and a draw has a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 2-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Kilmarnock 29.95% (-0.08)
Draw 24.47% (-0.04)
Celtic 45.58% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.18% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.65% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.35% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 56.03% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 43.97% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 33.99% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.01% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 27.75%
Draw 41.03%
Celtic 31.22%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 44.31% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.68%
Celtic 50.01% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.93%
Equal 8 10.71%
Under 8 28.36%
Over 9 49.75%
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 39.07%
Over 10.5 39%
Under 10.5 61%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 33.61% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.39% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.97% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 87.03% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.14% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.86% (+0.04)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 77.34% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.66% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.8%
Under 1.5 53.2%
Over 2.5 22.35%
Under 2.5 77.65%
Over 3.5 9.01%
Under 3.5 90.99%

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 29.95%
Draw 24.46%
Celtic 45.57%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.92%
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.95% (-0.03)
Total : 29.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 24.46%
Celtic
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.73% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.98% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.96%
0-3 @ 3.87% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15%
Other @ 8.82% (+0.01)
Total : 45.57%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Tyreece John-Jules 21' goal
  • Joe Hugill 28' goal
  • Aaron Tshibola 63' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Polworth 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 79' yellowcard
  • Marcus Dackers 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 46'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cvancara 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Tounekti 46'
  • goal Sebastian Tounekti 56'
  • yellowcard James Forrest 62'
  • goal Benjamin Nygren 64'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Saracchi 78'
  • goal Julián Araujo 90'+7'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 14, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Celtic Park
  • Reo Hatate 9' goal
  • Daizen Maeda 11' goal
  • Cameron Carter-Vickers 21' goal
  • Reo Hatate 24' goal
  • Anthony Ralston 90'+3' goal
  • goal Danny Armstrong 29'