Club Friendlies 3
Jul 14, 2026 7.30pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Celtic

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 6.00pm
Shelbourne 1 - 1 Celtic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Celtic has a probability of 25.9% and a draw has a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Celtic win is 1-2 (6.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.66%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 52.27% (-3.73)
Draw 21.87% (-0.10)
Celtic 25.9% (+3.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.76% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.23% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 16.77% (+0.77)
Over 2.5 63.77% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 36.23% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 41.1% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 58.9% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 26.23% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 73.77% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 40.29% (-4.90)
Draw 37.12% (+1.23)
Celtic 22.59% (+3.65)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 57.07% (-4.94)
No Goal 4.12% (+0.19)
Celtic 38.81% (+4.75)

Corners

Over 8 68.58% (+0.85)
Equal 8 9.55% (+0.07)
Under 8 21.86% (-0.93)
Over 9 57.99% (+0.72)
Equal 9 10.6% (+0.16)
Under 9 31.42% (-0.86)
Over 10.5 47.16% (+0.50)
Under 10.5 52.84% (-0.50)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 55.21% (-3.65)
Under 1.5 44.79% (+3.65)
Over 2.5 29.61% (-2.82)
Under 2.5 70.39% (+2.82)
Over 3.5 12.81% (-1.75)
Under 3.5 87.19% (+1.74)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 64.07% (+3.01)
Under 0.5 35.93% (-3.01)
Over 1.5 33.73% (+3.29)
Under 1.5 66.27% (-3.30)
Over 2.5 13.47% (+2.21)
Under 2.5 86.53% (-2.21)
Over 3.5 4.76% (+1.09)
Under 3.5 95.24% (-1.10)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 52.28%
Draw 21.88%
Celtic 25.9%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.27)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.66)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.79)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.75)
3-2 @ 4.61% (+0.53)
Other @ 12.57% (-1.65)
Total : 52.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 4.12% (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.11)
Total : 21.88%
Celtic
1-2 @ 6.38% (+0.23)
0-1 @ 4.88% (+0.75)
0-2 @ 3.04% (+0.50)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.54)
2-3 @ 2.66% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.39)
Other @ 4.52% (+1.19)
Total : 25.9%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 16, 2025 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT