Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.57% and a win for Torreense had a probability of 11.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%) , while for a Torreense win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.