Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 44.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.76% and a win for Fafe had a probability of 27.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%) , while for a Fafe win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.