Scottish Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 St Mirren
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Killian Phillips

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Celtic 3 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 27.16% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 2-1 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.77%).

Result

St Mirren 27.16% (+0.13)
Draw 24.4% (+1.33)
Celtic 48.47% (-1.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.81% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.65% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 19.35% (+0.70)
Over 2.5 59.05% (-1.72)
Under 2.5 40.95% (+1.72)
Over 3.5 36.41% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 63.59% (+0.85)
Over 4.5 21.69% (-1.24)
Under 4.5 78.31% (+1.24)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 26.66% (+2.66)
Draw 37.62% (-3.59)
Celtic 35.72% (+0.91)

Team To Score First

St Mirren 41.66% (+1.66)
No Goal 5.06% (+0.21)
Celtic 53.28% (-1.87)

Corners

Over 8 66.34% (+0.10)
Equal 8 9.97% (-0.04)
Under 8 23.7% (-0.04)
Over 9 55.51% (+0.16)
Equal 9 10.83% (-0.08)
Under 9 33.66% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 44.67% (+0.24)
Under 10.5 55.33% (-0.24)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 33.21% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 66.79% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 12.72% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 87.28% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.99% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.01% (-0.01)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 79.98% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 20.02% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 51.16% (-1.39)
Under 1.5 48.84% (+1.39)
Over 2.5 25.42% (-1.52)
Under 2.5 74.58% (+1.52)
Over 3.5 10.35% (-1.33)
Under 3.5 89.65% (+1.33)

Score analysis

St Mirren 27.17%
Draw 24.4%
Celtic 48.48%
St Mirren
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.18)
1-0 @ 6.01% (+0.32)
2-0 @ 3.71% (+0.30)
3-1 @ 2.9% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.24)
Other @ 3.66% (+0.04)
Total : 27.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (+0.68)
2-2 @ 6.48% (+0.39)
0-0 @ 5.06% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.33% (-0.02)
Total : 24.4%
Celtic
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 8.33% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 7.12% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.34% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.38)
2-3 @ 3.48% (+0.19)
Other @ 10.02% (-1.31)
Total : 48.48%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Apr 19, 2026 2.00pm
6
2
ET Celtic Park
  • Daizen Maeda 1' goal
  • Anthony Ralston 45'+3' goal
  • James Forrest 61' yellowcard
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 73' yellowcard
  • Luke McCowan 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 82' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Saracchi 82' yellowcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 83' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Saracchi 83' yellowcard
  • Dane Murray 90' yellowcard
  • Dane Murray 91' yellowcard
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 96' goal
  • Luke McCowan 98' goal
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 100' goal
  • Benjamin Nygren 102' goal
  • yellowcard Grant Tamosevicius 15'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 53'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 73'
  • yellowcard Jake Young 73'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 74'
  • yellowcard Jake Young 74'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 74'
  • yellowcard Conor McMenamin 82'
  • yellowcard 82'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 105'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 106'
  • yellowcard 106'
Scottish Premiership
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 15' goal
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 62' yellowcard
  • Arne Engels 63' yellowcard
  • Reo Hatate 73' yellowcard
  • Luke McCowan 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Mullen 32'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 73'
  • yellowcard J. Young 73'
  • yellowcard Conor McMenamin 80'
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 81'
Scottish League Cup
Dec 14, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcus Fraser 2' goal
  • Marcus Fraser 22' yellowcard
  • Dan N'Lundulu 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jonah Ayunga 64' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 76' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 77' yellowcard
  • goal Reo Hatate 23'
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 45'+4'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT