Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Greg Kiltie 38' yellowcard
  • Bailey Rice 82' yellowcard
  • goal Fraser Taylor 4'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Agrafiotis 42'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 82'

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 4 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 3 - 3 Motherwell
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Killian Phillips

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 2-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 35.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.7% ▼ (-0.09)
St Mirren 38.75% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.79% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 58.44% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 41.56% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 36.07% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 63.93% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 4.5 20.82% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 79.18% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 27.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 41.2% ▼ (-0.02)
St Mirren 31.79% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 43.29% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 5.41% ▼ (-0.04)
St Mirren 51.3% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 65% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 8 10.33%
Under 8 24.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 53.87% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 35% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 42.83% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 10.5 57.17% ▼ (-0.12)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 40.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.54% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 6.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.88% ▼ (-0.04)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 74.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 43.17% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 56.83% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 19.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 80.5% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.14% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 92.86% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 35.51%
Draw 25.71%
St Mirren 38.75%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 35.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.71%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 38.75%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Scott Tanser 14' yellowcard
  • Jayden Richardson 46' yellowcard
  • Jake Young 46' yellowcard
  • Richard King 69' yellowcard
  • Luke Douglas 74' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Freckleton 9' (OG)
  • goal Findlay Curtis 46'
  • yellowcard David Watson 46'
  • yellowcard Lewis Mayo 54'
  • goal Findlay Curtis 68'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 79'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 79'
  • yellowcard Kyle Magennis 87'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Greg Kiltie 43' goal
  • Tyreece John-Jules 45'+1' goal
  • Joe Hugill 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Tshibola 65' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 76' goal
  • Jamie Brandon 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 80' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 82' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 84' yellowcard
  • goal Killian Phillips 8'
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 46'
  • goal Killian Phillips 47'
  • goal Killian Phillips 48'
  • yellowcard Jalmaro Calvin 84'
  • yellowcard Conor McMenamin 84'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 84'
  • goal Scott Tanser 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Roland Idowu 27' yellowcard
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT