Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 4 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 3 - 3 Motherwell
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Killian Phillips

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 35.55% and a draw has a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 2-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.39%).

Result

Kilmarnock 35.55% (+0.13)
Draw 25.79% (-0.06)
St Mirren 38.66% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.69% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.92% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 20.08% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 58.35% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 41.65% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 35.87% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 64.13% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 20.66% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 79.34% (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 27.03% (+0.11)
Draw 41.22% (+0.05)
St Mirren 31.75% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 43.34% (-0.15)
No Goal 5.44% (-0.05)
St Mirren 51.22% (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 64.85% (+0.74)
Equal 8 10.33% (+0.01)
Under 8 24.82% (-0.75)
Over 9 53.72% (+0.66)
Equal 9 11.13% (+0.09)
Under 9 35.15% (-0.75)
Over 10.5 42.71% (+0.54)
Under 10.5 57.29% (-0.54)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 40.53% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 59.47% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 17.49% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 82.51% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 6.09% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 93.91% (-0.16)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 74.33% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.67% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.04% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 56.96% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.4% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 80.6% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.08% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.92% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 35.54%
Draw 25.79%
St Mirren 38.67%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 8.27% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.94% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.53% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.67% (+0.14)
Total : 35.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.83% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.42% (+0.02)
Total : 25.79%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 8.72% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.66% (+0.03)
Total : 38.67%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Scott Tanser 14' yellowcard
  • Jayden Richardson 46' yellowcard
  • Jake Young 46' yellowcard
  • Richard King 69' yellowcard
  • Luke Douglas 74' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Freckleton 9' (OG)
  • goal Findlay Curtis 46'
  • yellowcard David Watson 46'
  • yellowcard Lewis Mayo 54'
  • goal Findlay Curtis 68'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 79'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 79'
  • yellowcard Kyle Magennis 87'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Greg Kiltie 43' goal
  • Tyreece John-Jules 45'+1' goal
  • Joe Hugill 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Tshibola 65' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 76' goal
  • Jamie Brandon 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 80' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 82' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 84' yellowcard
  • goal Killian Phillips 8'
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 46'
  • goal Killian Phillips 47'
  • goal Killian Phillips 48'
  • yellowcard Jalmaro Calvin 84'
  • yellowcard Conor McMenamin 84'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 84'
  • goal Scott Tanser 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Roland Idowu 27' yellowcard
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT