Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 0 Falkirk

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee 2 - 0 Aberdeen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Motherwell 48.98% (+0.01)
Draw 25.43% (+0.01)
Aberdeen 25.59% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.89% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.47%
Under 1.5 27.53%
Over 2.5 47.37%
Under 2.5 52.63%
Over 3.5 26.08% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.92% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.32% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.68% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 33.98% (-0.02)
Draw 41.94% (+0.02)
Aberdeen 24.07% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 55.23% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.88%
Aberdeen 36.89% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.28% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 32.85% (+0.04)
Over 9 43.42% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 44.72% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 32.54% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 67.46% (+0.05)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 44.34% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.66% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.52% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.48% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.91%
Under 3.5 93.09%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 59.61%
Under 0.5 40.39%
Over 1.5 25.94% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.43% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.57% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.43% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.57% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Motherwell 48.98%
Draw 25.43%
Aberdeen 25.6%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 11.91% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 9.13% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54%
Other @ 6.89%
Total : 48.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.88%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 25.43%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 7.75%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.41% (+0.02)
Total : 25.6%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Feb 18, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Kevin Nisbet 4' goal
  • Ante Palaversa 46' yellowcard
  • Toyosi Olusanya 46' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 64' goal
  • Marko Lazetic 80' yellowcard
  • Marko Lazetić 80' yellowcard
  • Sivert Heltne Nilsen 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Manny Longelo 61'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 61'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Longelo 61'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sa'id 68'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Said 68'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 80'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 81'
Scottish Premiership
Feb 15, 2026 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Elijah Just 28' goal
  • Regan Charles-Cook 66' yellowcard
  • Eythor Bjørgolfsson 66' yellowcard
  • Sam Nicholson 81' yellowcard
  • Stephen O'Donnell 81' yellowcard
  • Jordan McGhee 90' yellowcard
  • Tom McIntyre 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ante Palaversa 46'
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 62'
  • yellowcard Kenan Bilalovic 71'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 71'
  • yellowcard Kjartan Már Kjartansson 79'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm