Scottish League Cup
Sep 12, 2026 5.45pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Aberdeen

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Aberdeen has a probability of 34.72% and a draw has a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Aberdeen win is 0-1 (8.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.29%).

Result

Kilmarnock 40.92%
Draw 24.31%
Aberdeen 34.72%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.68%
Under 1.5 25.32%
Over 2.5 51.24%
Under 2.5 48.76%
Over 3.5 29.43%
Under 3.5 70.57%
Over 4.5 16.94%
Under 4.5 83.06%

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 32.71%
Draw 38.52%
Aberdeen 28.77%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 47.39%
No Goal 7.01%
Aberdeen 45.6%

Corners

Over 8 65.39%
Equal 8 10.28%
Under 8 24.33%
Over 9 54.29%
Equal 9 11.09%
Under 9 34.61%
Over 10.5 43.29%
Under 10.5 56.71%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 39.66%
Under 1.5 60.34%
Over 2.5 17.36%
Under 2.5 82.64%
Over 3.5 5.88%
Under 3.5 94.12%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 67.85%
Under 0.5 32.15%
Over 1.5 34.9%
Under 1.5 65.1%
Over 2.5 13.97%
Under 2.5 86.03%
Over 3.5 5.02%
Under 3.5 94.98%

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 40.92%
Draw 24.3%
Aberdeen 34.72%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 5.77%
Total : 40.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.3%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 4.91%
Total : 34.72%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
Scottish Premiership
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Afeez Aremu 1' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie  58' yellowcard
  • Dennis Geiger 59' yellowcard
  • Mats Knoester 72' yellowcard
  • Ante Palaversa 72' yellowcard
  • Elvis Bwomono 81' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 84' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 5'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 68'
  • yellowcard Kyle Magennis 77'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 77'
  • yellowcard David Watson 84'
  • yellowcard Brad Lyons  84'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard David Watson 85'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 12' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 14' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 58' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 59' goal
  • Findlay Curtis 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Hugill 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 79' yellowcard
  • Marcus Dackers 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 35'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 46'
  • yellowcard Leighton Clarkson 56'
  • yellowcard Alexander Jensen 66'
  • yellowcard Kjartan Már Kjartansson 66'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 66'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 14, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Lazetic 75' yellowcard
  • Kenan Bilalovic 79' goal
  • Jesper Karlsson 85' goal
  • Adil Aouchiche 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tyreece John-Jules 17'
  • yellowcard George Stanger 51'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 57'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 61'
  • yellowcard James Brown 69'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT