Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 1, 2026 5.30pm
Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
Dundee 3 - 2 Aberdeen

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 16, 2026 12.30pm
Celtic 3 - 1 Hearts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aberdeen win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 35.25% and a draw has a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aberdeen win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Hearts win is 1-2 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.87%).

Result

Aberdeen 39.4% (+0.47)
Draw 25.35% (-0.08)
Hearts 35.25% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.07% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.11% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 22.89% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 53.49% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 46.51% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 30.92% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 69.08% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 17.37% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 82.63% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Aberdeen 31.57%
Draw 38.25%
Hearts 30.18%

Team To Score First

Aberdeen 47.07% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.29% (-0.06)
Hearts 46.64% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.14% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.32%
Under 8 25.53% (-0.01)
Over 9 53.09% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 35.86% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 42.2% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 57.8% (-0.02)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 1.5 40.6% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 59.4% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 17% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 83% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 5.7% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 94.3% (-0.15)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 70.13% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 29.87% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 37.29% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 62.71% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 15.07% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 84.93% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.04% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 94.96% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 39.41%
Draw 25.35%
Hearts 35.23%
Aberdeen
2-1 @ 8.88% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 8.64% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.3% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.14% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.05% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.58% (+0.14)
Total : 39.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.78% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.35%
Hearts
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.92% (-0.07)
Total : 35.23%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Cláudio Braga 28' goal
  • Frankie Kent 84' yellowcard
  • Beni Baningime 87' yellowcard
  • Islam Chesnokov 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 46'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Frame 46'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 66'
  • yellowcard Dylan Lobban 71'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 79'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 4, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 4, 2025 8.00pm
Scottish Cup
Apr 19, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
ET Ibrox Stadium
  • Lawrence Shankland 28' goal
  • Michael Steinwender 44' redcard
  • Cameron Devlin 77' yellowcard
  • Cameron Devlin 116' redcard
  • Musa Drammeh 120'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Gordon 18' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alexander Jensen 78'
  • yellowcard Alfie Dorrington 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Mats Knoester 115'
  • goal Oday Dabbagh 118'