Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2026 7.30pm
Stark's Park

Raith Rovers vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 30, 2026 7.30pm
Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Edinburgh

Hearts

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 7.45pm
Hearts 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 31.87% and a draw has a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Hearts win is 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.3%).

Result

Raith Rovers 43.13% (+0.60)
Draw 25.05% (-0.38)
Hearts 31.87% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.86% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.48% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 20.52% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 57.49% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 42.51% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 33.93% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 66.07% (-0.46)
Over 4.5 19.56% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 80.44% (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Raith Rovers 33.06% (+0.32)
Draw 39.18% (-0.23)
Hearts 27.75% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Raith Rovers 49.5% (+0.58)
No Goal 5.62% (-0.09)
Hearts 44.88% (-0.48)

Corners

Over 8 52.92% (+0.07)
Equal 8 12.19% (+0.02)
Under 8 34.89% (-0.08)
Over 9 40.96% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.03)
Under 9 47.08% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 30.22% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 69.78% (-0.02)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 45.38% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 54.62% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 20.75% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 79.25% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 7.78% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 92.22% (-0.30)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 68.75% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 31.25% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 36.39% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 63.61% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 14.93% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.07% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.19% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.81% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 43.13%
Draw 25.05%
Hearts 31.86%
Raith Rovers
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.3% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.85% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.62% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.97% (+0.04)
Other @ 7.38% (+0.30)
Total : 43.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.05%
Hearts
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.79% (-0.01)
Total : 31.86%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2021 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Fernandy Mendy 25' yellowcard
  • Iain Davidson 58' redcard
  • Reghan Tumilty 81' yellowcard
  • goal Gary Mackay-Steven 11'
  • goal Euan Henderson 57'
  • goal Steven Naismith 70'
  • goal Gary Mackay-Steven 73'
  • yellowcard F 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Regan Hendry 40' redcard
  • Manny Duku 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Smith 18'
  • goal Liam Boyce 36'
  • goal Euan Henderson 39'
  • goal Armand Gnanduillet 84'
  • goal Armand Gnanduillet 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Liam Boyce 58' goal
  • Steven Naismith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 90'+3' goal
  • goal Gozie Ugwu 5'
  • goal Manny Duku 47'
  • goal Reghan Tumilty 52'
  • yellowcard Kyle Benedictus 74'
  • yellowcard Manny Duku 83'
  • yellowcard Brad Spencer 90'+9'
Scottish League Cup
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Craig Wighton 2' goal
  • Craig Wighton 40' goal
  • Jordan Roberts 56' yellowcard
  • Craig Wighton 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Benedictus 2'
  • yellowcard Dylan Tait 32'
  • goal Manny Duku 54'
  • yellowcard Iain Davidson 89'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 21, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Iain Davidson 48' yellowcard
  • Kevin Nisbet 51' goal
  • goal Michael Smith 78'
Scottish Cup
Jan 25, 2017 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rory Currie 35' goal
  • Malaury Martin 94' goal
  • Jamie Walker 105' goal
  • Bjoern Johnsen 114' goal
  • goal Bobby Barr 14'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 100'