Scottish Premiership
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Drey Wright 10' goal
  • Joe Westley 61' goal
  • Joe Bevan 68' yellowcard
  • Tony Yogane 76' yellowcard
  • Joel Cotterill 77' yellowcard
  • Simon Murray 77' yellowcard
  • Tony Yogane 77' yellowcard
  • Luke Graham 87' yellowcard
  • Ryan Astley 90' goal
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin  14'
  • goal Liam Morrison 23'
  • goal Toyosi Olusanya 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Kenan Bilalovic 69'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Milanovic 69'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie  69'
  • yellowcard Afeez Aremu 76'

Dundee vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Ashley Hay

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Aberdeen 0 - 2 St Mirren
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Dundee 49.44% (+0.26)
Draw 24.54% (+0.08)
Aberdeen 26.05% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.4% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.76% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 22.24% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 54.94% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 45.06% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 32.91% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 67.09% (+0.55)
Over 4.5 19.16% (-0.45)
Under 4.5 80.84% (+0.46)

First Half Winner

Dundee 35.2% (+0.39)
Draw 42.46% (+0.35)
Aberdeen 22.34% (-0.72)

Team To Score First

Dundee 57.18% (+0.90)
No Goal 6.05% (+0.09)
Aberdeen 36.77% (-0.98)

Corners

Over 8 65.8% (-0.36)
Equal 8 10.35% (-0.46)
Under 8 23.85% (+0.81)
Over 9 54.55% (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.58)
Under 9 34.2% (+0.36)
Over 10.5 43.35% (+0.79)
Under 10.5 56.65% (-0.79)

Dundee Goals

Over 1.5 49.38% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 50.62% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 23.78% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 76.22% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 9.63% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 90.37% (+0.17)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 62.23% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 37.77% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 29.93% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 70.07% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 11.11% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 88.89% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 3.26% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.74% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Dundee 49.43%
Draw 24.55%
Aberdeen 26.06%
Dundee
1-0 @ 9.74% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.12% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.27% (-0.20)
Total : 49.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 6.05% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.03)
Total : 24.55%
Aberdeen
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 2.88% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.9% (-0.11)
Total : 26.06%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Toyosi Olusanya 13' goal
  • Kevin Nisbet 13' goal
  • Jack Milne 41' yellowcard
  • Jack Milne 42' yellowcard
  • Ante Palaversa 46' yellowcard
  • Marko Lazetić 67' yellowcard
  • Kevin Nisbet 68' goal
  • Kenan Bilalovic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simon Murray 40'
  • goal Joel Cotterill 45'+1'
  • goal Ethan Hamilton 84'
  • yellowcard Francisco Valenzuela 86'
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 86'
  • yellowcard Finlay Robertson 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Drey Wright 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Drey Wright 46' yellowcard
  • Ryan Astley 60' goal
  • Finlay Robertson 90' yellowcard
  • goal Adil Aouchiche 17'
  • goal Adil Aouchiche 30'
  • yellowcard Dylan Lobban 40'
  • goal Kevin Nisbet 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 5, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Seb Palmer-Houlden 54' goal
  • Oluwaseun Adewumi 74' yellowcard
  • A 85' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Nisbet 29'
  • goal Topi Keskinen 52'
  • yellowcard Ross Doohan 81'