Scottish Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Celtic 3 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Lewis Mayo

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 St Mirren
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 29.04% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aberdeen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.81%).

Result

Aberdeen 46.9% (-3.49)
Draw 24.03% (-0.12)
Kilmarnock 29.04% (+3.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.84% (+2.85)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.54% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 20.46% (-0.90)
Over 2.5 57.62% (+1.65)
Under 2.5 42.38% (-1.65)
Over 3.5 35.36% (+1.90)
Under 3.5 64.64% (-1.91)
Over 4.5 20.8% (+1.13)
Under 4.5 79.2% (-1.13)

First Half Winner

Aberdeen 34.35% (-2.55)
Draw 41.81% (+0.93)
Kilmarnock 23.84% (+1.63)

Team To Score First

Aberdeen 52.69% (-4.61)
No Goal 5.49% (-0.31)
Kilmarnock 41.82% (+4.92)

Corners

Over 8 64.63% (-1.42)
Equal 8 10.44% (+0.16)
Under 8 24.94% (+1.29)
Over 9 53.4% (-1.45)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.03)
Under 9 35.37% (+1.41)
Over 10.5 42.32% (-1.36)
Under 10.5 57.68% (+1.36)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 1.5 48.82% (-1.68)
Under 1.5 51.18% (+1.68)
Over 2.5 23.57% (-1.17)
Under 2.5 76.43% (+1.17)
Over 3.5 9.12% (-0.69)
Under 3.5 90.88% (+0.68)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 65.95% (+3.57)
Under 0.5 34.05% (-3.57)
Over 1.5 33.74% (+3.89)
Under 1.5 66.26% (-3.88)
Over 2.5 13.19% (+2.41)
Under 2.5 86.81% (-2.41)
Over 3.5 4.3% (+1.04)
Under 3.5 95.7% (-1.04)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 46.9%
Draw 24.04%
Kilmarnock 29.04%
Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.34)
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.91)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.89)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.79)
3-2 @ 3.49% (+0.17)
Other @ 8.93% (-0.71)
Total : 46.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.07% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 24.04%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 7.08% (+0.70)
0-1 @ 6.53% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 3.91% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 3.02% (+0.55)
2-3 @ 2.6% (+0.46)
0-3 @ 1.79% (+0.19)
Other @ 4.11% (+1.03)
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Afeez Aremu 1' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie  58' yellowcard
  • Dennis Geiger 59' yellowcard
  • Mats Knoester 72' yellowcard
  • Ante Palaversa 72' yellowcard
  • Elvis Bwomono 81' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 84' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 5'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 68'
  • yellowcard Kyle Magennis 77'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 77'
  • yellowcard David Watson 84'
  • yellowcard Brad Lyons  84'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard David Watson 85'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 12' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 14' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 58' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 59' goal
  • Findlay Curtis 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Hugill 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 79' yellowcard
  • Marcus Dackers 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 35'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 46'
  • yellowcard Leighton Clarkson 56'
  • yellowcard Alexander Jensen 66'
  • yellowcard Kjartan Már Kjartansson 66'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 66'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 14, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Lazetic 75' yellowcard
  • Kenan Bilalovic 79' goal
  • Jesper Karlsson 85' goal
  • Adil Aouchiche 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tyreece John-Jules 17'
  • yellowcard George Stanger 51'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 57'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 61'
  • yellowcard James Brown 69'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT