Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 15
Nov 22, 2026 1.45pm
Arena Katowice

Katowice vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 1.45pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 0 Katowice
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 7.15pm
Lech Poznan 2 - 2 Zaglebie Lubin
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Patrik Wålemark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Katowice has a probability of 34.72% and a draw has a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.51%) and 0-2 (4.98%). The likeliest Katowice win is 2-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.78%).

Result

Katowice 34.72% ▼ (-0.21)
Draw 24.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Lech Poznan 40.56% ▲ (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.15% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 16.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 63.1% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 36.9% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 41.6% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 58.4% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 25.87% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 74.13% ▼ (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Katowice 29.24%
Draw 40.62%
Lech Poznan 30.13%

Team To Score First

Katowice 46.39% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Lech Poznan 49.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.06%
Equal 8 10.8%
Under 8 26.14%
Over 9 51.6%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 36.94%
Over 10.5 40.44%
Under 10.5 59.56%

Katowice Goals

Over 1.5 42.1% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 57.9% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 19.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 76.45% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 23.55% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 47.31% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 52.69% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 22.97% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 77.03% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 9.48% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 90.52% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Katowice 34.72%
Draw 24.71%
Lech Poznan 40.55%
Katowice
2-1 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.81%
0-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.71%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 40.55%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT Enea stadion
  • Arkadiusz Jedrych 48' goal
  • Patrik Wålemark 53' yellowcard
  • Filip Jagiello 59' yellowcard
  • Yannick Agnero 68' yellowcard
  • Daniel Håkans 68' yellowcard
  • Luis Palma 68' yellowcard
  • Daniel Håkans 74' goal
  • Luis Palma 80' goal
  • Timothy Ouma 80' yellowcard
  • goal Eman Markovic 38'
  • goal Ilya Shkurin 60'
  • yellowcard Erik Jirka 73'
  • yellowcard Kacper Lukasiak 73'
  • yellowcard Adam Zrelak 73'
  • goal Eman Markovic 78'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Wdowiak 90'
  • yellowcard Marcel Wedrychowski 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Borja Galán 74' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Fiabema 45'
  • yellowcard Antoni Kozubal 50'
  • yellowcard João Moutinho 59'
  • yellowcard Mikael Ishak 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 18, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Oskar Repka 14' goal
  • Arkadiusz Jedrych 49' yellowcard
  • Marcin Wasielewski 58' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Nowak 59' goal
  • Mateusz Marzec 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Walemark 33'
  • goal Patrik Walemark 43'
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 76'
  • yellowcard Antonio Milic 90'+1'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Mikael Ishak 4' goal
  • Ali Gholizadeh 57' goal
  • yellowcard Borja Galan 22'
  • yellowcard Marcin Wasielewski 41'