Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Katowice
  • Lukas Klemenz 65' yellowcard
  • goal Jordi Sánchez 51'

Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 7.30pm
Katowice 2 - 1 Wieczysta Krakow
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 4.30pm
Szczecin 2 - 0 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Darko Churlinov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Katowice 47.01% ▲ (+1.40)
Draw 25.91% ▼ (-0.33)
Pogon Szczecin 27.13% ▼ (-1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.37% ▲ (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.94% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 45.06% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 31.56% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 68.44% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 18.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.71% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Katowice 34.98% ▲ (+1.98)
Draw 41.56% ▼ (-0.86)
Pogon Szczecin 23.47% ▼ (-1.11)

Team To Score First

Katowice 53.4% ▲ (+1.34)
No Goal 5.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Pogon Szczecin 40.61% ▼ (-1.29)

Corners

Over 8 60.06% ▼ (-1.79)
Equal 8 11.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 28.55% ▲ (+1.77)
Over 9 48.24% ▼ (-1.62)
Equal 9 11.82% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 39.94% ▲ (+1.79)
Over 10.5 37% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 10.5 63% ▲ (+1.33)

Katowice Goals

Over 1.5 47.7% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 52.3% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 22.11% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 2.5 77.89% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 3.5 8.18% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 91.82% ▼ (-0.15)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 65.38% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 0.5 34.62% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 1.5 31.51% ▼ (-1.25)
Under 1.5 68.49% ▲ (+1.25)
Over 2.5 11.23% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 2.5 88.77% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 3.5 3.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 96.58% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Katowice 47.01%
Draw 25.91%
Pogon Szczecin 27.15%
Katowice
2-1 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.34)
3-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 47.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 25.91%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.35)
0-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 27.15%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 34
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Filip Cuic 31' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 58' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Koutris 58' yellowcard
  • Kamil Grosicki 65' yellowcard
  • N. Lawa 65' yellowcard
  • Hussein Ali 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateusz Wdowiak 46'
  • yellowcard Damian Rasak 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Ilya Shkurin 58'
  • yellowcard Marcel Wedrychowski 65'
  • yellowcard Marcel Wedrychowski 66'
  • yellowcard Adrian Blad 78'
  • goal Marcel Wedrychowski 90'+7'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 29, 2025 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Adam Zreľak 7' goal
  • Bartosz Nowak 37' goal
Club Friendlies 3
Jun 25, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 6, 2025 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Efthymios Koulouris 49' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 45'+6' goal
  • Kacper Lukasiak 82' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 87' goal
  • yellowcard Mateusz Kowalczyk 28'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 10
Sep 27, 2024 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Arkadiusz Jedrych 34' goal
  • Adrian Blad 53' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Bergier 85' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Bergier 90'+1' goal
  • Mateusz Marzec 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Valentin Cojocaru 54'
  • yellowcard Olaf Korczakowski 76'
  • yellowcard Leo Borges 85'
  • goal Alexander Gorgon 90'+3'