Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 10
Oct 11, 2026 4.30pm
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 11.15am
Piast Gliwice 1 - 2 Szczecin
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Darko Churlinov

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 1.45pm
Korona Kielce 3 - 2 Rakow
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Mariusz Stępiński

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Korona Kielce has a probability of 28.81% and a draw has a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win is 1-2 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Pogon Szczecin 45.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 25.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Korona Kielce 28.81% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 58.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 41.91% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 35.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 20.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 79.01% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 32.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 43.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Korona Kielce 23.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 51.31% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.98%
Korona Kielce 42.71% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 66.86% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 8 10.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 22.97% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 9 55.71% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 9 11.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 33.14% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 44.52% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 10.5 55.48% ▲ (+0.23)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 48.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5 66.56%
Under 0.5 33.44%
Over 1.5 34.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 13.82%
Under 2.5 86.18%
Over 3.5 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 45.48%
Draw 25.71%
Korona Kielce 28.82%
Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 45.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.98%
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.71%
Korona Kielce
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-1 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 28.82%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • José Pozo 59' yellowcard
  • Filip Cuic 59' yellowcard
  • Kamil Grosicki 59' yellowcard
  • Kamil Grosicki 60' yellowcard
  • José Pozo 60' yellowcard
  • Filip Cuic 60' yellowcard
  • José Pozo 68' goal
  • Leonardo Koutris 72' yellowcard
  • N. Lawa 87' yellowcard
  • José Pozo 90'+6' goal
  • goal Valentin Cojocaru 24' (OG)
  • yellowcard Nono 57'
  • yellowcard Antoñín 58'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Davidovic 73'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 13, 2025 1.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 18
Dec 9, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Milosz Strzebonski 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Efthymios Koulouris 47'
  • yellowcard Leo Borges 59'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 20, 2024 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 9' yellowcard
  • Efthymios Koulouris 35' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 47' goal
  • Kacper Lukasiak 84' goal
  • yellowcard Hubert Zwozny 9'
  • yellowcard Mariusz Fornalczyk 33'
  • yellowcard Mariusz Fornalczyk 70'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 17, 2024 11.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Kolporter Arena
  • Yoav Hofmeister 14' yellowcard
  • Nono 22' goal
  • Nono 38' yellowcard
  • Dawid Blanik 42' goal
  • Martin Remacle 69' yellowcard
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 54'
  • yellowcard Alexander Gorgon 56'
  • goal Alexander Gorgon 67'
  • yellowcard Linus Wahlqvist 76'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Kamil Grosicki 43' yellowcard
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 45'+6' goal
  • Alexander Gorgon 66' goal
  • Luka Zahovic 73' yellowcard
  • Danijel Loncar 81' goal
  • goal Nono 36'
  • yellowcard Martin Remacle 61'
  • yellowcard Kamil Kuzera 73'