Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Oct 12, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Ilya Shkurin 15' goal
  • Bartosz Nowak 74' goal
  • goal Bartosz Bialek 62'

Katowice vs Wieczysta Krakow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 7.30pm
Rakow 1 - 4 Katowice
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin

Wieczysta Krakow

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 5.00pm
Wieczysta Krakow 3 - 0 Wisla Plock
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Lucas Piazón

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Wieczysta Krakow had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Wieczysta Krakow win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Katowice 46.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 22.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Wieczysta Krakow 31.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.23% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.03% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 14.97% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 65.84% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 34.16% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 3.5 42.85% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 57.15% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 4.5 27.19% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 4.5 72.81% ▼ (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Katowice 31.18% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 40.2% ▼ (-0.19)
Wieczysta Krakow 28.62% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Katowice 47.81% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 3.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Wieczysta Krakow 48.56% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 67.37% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 9.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 22.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 56.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 9 10.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 32.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 45.79% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 54.21% ▲ (+0.11)

Katowice Goals

Over 1.5 52.62% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 47.38% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 26.7% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 73.3% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 11.39% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 88.61% ▼ (-0.11)

Wieczysta Krakow Goals

Over 0.5 69.32% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 30.68% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 39.65% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 60.35% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 17.52% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 82.48% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 6.52% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 93.48% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Katowice 46.05%
Draw 22.79%
Wieczysta Krakow 31.14%
Katowice
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 46.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.79%
Wieczysta Krakow
1-2 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 31.14%