/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
Leeds United vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F12%2Fimago1070756578-1-1-6953d00003a04650400903.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 33.51% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.51%).
Result
Leeds United
41.5%
Draw
25%
Newcastle United
33.51%
Both Teams to Score:
56.43%
Goals
Over 1.5
77.17%
Under 1.5
22.83%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
31.59%
Under 3.5
68.41%
Over 4.5
18.01%
Under 4.5
81.99%
First Half Winner
Leeds United
30.36%
Draw
41.9%
Newcastle United
27.73%
Team To Score First
Leeds United
47.43%
No Goal
6.27%
Newcastle United
46.3%
Corners
Over 8
65.13%
Equal 8
10.88%
Under 8
23.99%
Over 9
53.33%
Equal 9
11.8%
Under 9
34.87%
Over 10.5
41.67%
Under 10.5
58.33%
Leeds United Goals
Over 1.5
42.54%
Under 1.5
57.46%
Over 2.5
18.48%
Under 2.5
81.52%
Over 3.5
6.73%
Under 3.5
93.27%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
68.37%
Under 0.5
31.63%
Over 1.5
35.88%
Under 1.5
64.12%
Over 2.5
14.44%
Under 2.5
85.56%
Over 3.5
4.54%
Under 3.5
95.46%
Score analysis
Leeds United
41.49%
Draw
25%
Newcastle United
33.51%
Leeds United
2-1
@
9.02%
1-0 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 6.61%
Total : 41.49%
1-0 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 6.61%
Total : 41.49%
Draw
1-1
@
11.51%
0-0 @ 6.27%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25%
0-0 @ 6.27%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25%
Newcastle United
1-2
@
7.71%
0-1 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 33.51%
0-1 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 33.51%
Head to Head
Build-up
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F11%2Fricardo-larreina-amador-dan-burn-of-newcastle-united-celebrates-scoring-on-november-5-2025-690bca7f2f1d2257029016.jpg)