Premier League Gameweek 4
Leeds
Sep 14, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Elland Road
Newcastle
  • Lewis Miley 32' goal
  • Jayden Bogle 34' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 44' yellowcard
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45'+1' goal
  • Noah Okafor 59' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 54'
  • goal Bazoumana Touré 90'
  • yellowcard Tino Livramento  90'+1'

Leeds United vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Brighton 1 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Anthony Elanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%).

Result

Leeds United 37.41% ▼ (-4.10)
Draw 24.8% ▼ (-0.20)
Newcastle United 37.79% ▲ (+4.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.86% ▲ (+1.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.88% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 1.5 22.12% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 2.5 54.64% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 45.36% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 3.5 32.02% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 3.5 67.98% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 4.5 18.26% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 4.5 81.74% ▼ (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 27.26% ▼ (-3.10)
Draw 41.38% ▼ (-0.52)
Newcastle United 31.36% ▲ (+3.63)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 41.35% ▼ (-6.08)
No Goal 5.9% ▼ (-0.37)
Newcastle United 52.75% ▲ (+6.46)

Corners

Over 8 61.74% ▼ (-3.39)
Equal 8 11.04% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 8 27.22% ▲ (+3.24)
Over 9 50.13% ▼ (-3.20)
Equal 9 11.61% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 9 38.26% ▲ (+3.40)
Over 10.5 38.94% ▼ (-2.74)
Under 10.5 61.06% ▲ (+2.74)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 39.75% ▼ (-2.79)
Under 1.5 60.25% ▲ (+2.79)
Over 2.5 16.38% ▼ (-2.11)
Under 2.5 83.62% ▲ (+2.11)
Over 3.5 5.73% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 3.5 94.27% ▲ (+1.00)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 71.95% ▲ (+3.58)
Under 0.5 28.05% ▼ (-3.58)
Over 1.5 39.81% ▲ (+3.93)
Under 1.5 60.19% ▼ (-3.94)
Over 2.5 16.67% ▲ (+2.24)
Under 2.5 83.33% ▼ (-2.24)
Over 3.5 5.52% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 3.5 94.48% ▼ (-0.98)

Score analysis

Leeds United 37.42%
Draw 24.8%
Newcastle United 37.79%
Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.37)
1-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.81)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.75)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.45)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.64)
Other @ 5.6% ▼ (-1.02)
Total : 37.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.37)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.8%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.81)
0-1 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.47)
0-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.83)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.50)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.30)
0-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.42)
Other @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.97)
Total : 37.79%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 21
Newcastle
Jan 7, 2026 8.15pm
4
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
Premier League
Leeds
Aug 30, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
Premier League Gameweek 36
Leeds
May 13, 2023 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Luke Ayling 7' goal
  • Rasmus Kristensen 79' goal
  • goal Callum Wilson 31'
  • goal Callum Wilson 69'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Newcastle
Dec 31, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
Premier League Gameweek 23
Leeds
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Daniel James 57' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Llorente 74' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Allan Saint-Maximin 57'
  • yellowcard Paul Dummett 62'
  • goal Jonjo Shelvey 75'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Newcastle
Sep 17, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Leeds
  • Matt Ritchie 8' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 39' yellowcard
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 44' goal
  • goal Raphinha 13'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo 57'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 80'

Form Data

Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds
Brighton 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 1 Brentford
Nott'm Forest 0 - 2 Leeds
Nott'm Forest 0 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 4 - 0 Augsburg
Millwall 0 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Spurs 0 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 3 - 2 West Brom
Newcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool
Newcastle 1 - 1 Strasbourg

Build-up

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