UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 2nd Leg

Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK

Puskas Arena

Hungary
0 - 3
Turkey

(Turkey win 6-1 on aggregate)

Fiola (21'), Dardai (52'), Orban (59'), Varga (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Guler (39'), Bardakci (90')
Yuksek (30'), Akturkoglu (43'), Bardakci (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Hungary and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Hungary
Thursday, March 20 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	6	14	14
2	Netherlands	6	6	9
3	Hungary	6	-7	6
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	6	-13	2

Turkey

All competitions

Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Hungary
Thursday, March 20 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Turkey
34.08% ( -0.59)	25.73% ( 0.25)	40.18% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 54.82% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.72% (

-1.19)

49.28% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66% (

-1.09)

71.33% (

1.08)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0.94)

27.65% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-1.22)

63.2% (

1.21)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

-0.36)

24.22% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43% (

-0.51)

58.56% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Hungary 34.08%

Turkey 40.18%

Draw 25.72%

Hungary	Draw	Turkey
1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.08%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.18%