UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Kraj Bistrice

Montenegro
3 - 1
Turkey

Krstovic (29', 45', 73')
Jankovic (22'), Sipcic (42'), Krstovic (62'), Loncar (90+2'), Nikic (90+4'), Tuci (90+4')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Yildiz (37')
Yokuslu (46'), Akturkoglu (62'), Guler (80'), Demiral (80'), Montella (80'), Yilmaz (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Montenegro and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Montenegro 0-2 Iceland
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Turkey

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Turkey 0-0 Wales
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Turkey
32.67% ( 0.01)	26.5% ( 0.06)	40.82% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.18% (

-0.23)

52.81% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56% (

-0.19)

74.44% (

0.19)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7% (

-0.11)

30.29% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

-0.13)

66.47% (

0.13)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.52% (

-0.14)

25.48% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.68% (

-0.19)

60.32% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Montenegro 32.67%

Turkey 40.82%

Draw 26.5%

Montenegro	Draw	Turkey
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.67%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.82%