Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.