Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Radcliffe	Draw	Alfreton Town
34% ( -0.65)	26.85% ( -0.23)	39.14% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.04% (

0.81)

53.96% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

0.68)

75.4% (

-0.68)

Radcliffe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

-0.01)

29.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.88% (

-0.02)

66.11% (

0.01)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

0.88)

26.91% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75% (

1.14)

62.24% (

-1.14)

Score Analysis

Radcliffe 34%

Alfreton Town 39.14%

Draw 26.84%

Radcliffe	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 34%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.14%